GlossaryPerformance metrics

Sortino Ratio

Like Sharpe, but only counts downside volatility, not upside swings.

Source Wikipedia

Sortino is Sharpe with a fix. Same numerator: average return above a baseline. Different denominator: only the standard deviation of the negative returns. Upside swings, no matter how violent, do not penalize the score.

The reasoning is simple. Investors do not lose sleep over the month their account jumped up. They lose sleep over the month their account jumped down. The volatility that matters is the volatility of the losses. When a strategy has occasional outsize winning periods, Sharpe treats them as volatility and the score drops. Sortino lifts those wins out and reads more honestly.

A Sortino of 2 or more is considered strong for an algorithmic forex strategy. As always, the number needs context: drawdown depth, length of the measurement, position count. A great Sortino over six months on twenty positions means much less than a decent Sortino over three years on a thousand.

Javlot reports Sortino next to Sharpe on every strategy page. When Sortino is much higher than Sharpe, the strategy has positive surprises that Sharpe was treating as noise. When the two sit close together, the equity curve is roughly symmetric.

Glossary entries are educational. They describe how a term is commonly used in automated forex investing, including on the Javlot platform. They are not a personalized recommendation and not a forecast. Past performance does not guarantee future results.